Remember Voros McCracken's "Road to South Africa"? I was a very faithful reader, but Voros seems to be out of the picture for now. On 1 September 2011, he announced he will be writing for ESPN Insider.
I really wanted to do something similar for the 2014 FIFA World Cup final draw seeding, but I never had the time to create an offense / defense rating system to use it to generate results. Three weeks after Voros made the announcement regarding ESPN Insider, Håkon (one of my readers) suggested calculating the expected goals from the Elo expected winning percentange.
Showing posts with label voros ranking. Show all posts
Showing posts with label voros ranking. Show all posts
Friday, April 12, 2013
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
2010 FIFA World Cup: Various stats and info (II)
Confederation weighting - CONMEBOL still in front, UEFA with 0.94, the rest at 0.85.
Interesting analysis (with all kind of probabilities) from Voros. He has also updated the team rankings.
A look at the FIFA match points.
Top 10 results
2376 - Switzerland - Spain 1 - 0
2328 - Serbia - Germany 1 - 0
2221.56 - Argentina - Greece 2 - 0
2120.1 - South Africa - France 2 - 1
2120.1 - Mexico - France - 2 - 1
2090.88 - Chile - Switzerland 1 - 0
2075.7 - Korea Republic - Greece 2 - 0
2053.5 - Ghana - Serbia 1 - 0
2009.34 - Uruguay - Mexic 1 - 0
2009.1 - Denmark - Cameroon 2 - 1
Bottom 10 results
(losses not included)
397.8 - Mexico - South Africa 1 - 1
451.4 - Italy - New Zealand 1 - 1
451.4 - Slovakia - New Zealand 1 - 1
520.2 - Nigeria - Korea Republic 2 - 2
571.2 - Australia - Ghana 1 - 1
608.6 - Korea Republic - Nigeria 2 - 2
612 - Ghana - Australia 1 - 1
614.2 - New Zealand - Slovakia 1 - 1
622.2 - South Africa - Mexico 1 - 1
629 - England - Algeria 0 - 0
Average results - how many points a team actually received.
Top 10 averaged results
198 - Switzerland - Spain 1 - 0
179.077 - Serbia - Germany 1 - 0
157.25 - Slovenia - Algeria 1 - 0
154.565 - Uruguay - Mexic 1 - 0
153.692 - Germany - Australia 4 - 0
152.838 - Greece - Nigeria 2 - 1
140.571 - Netherlands - Denmark 2 - 0
138.848 - Argentina - Greece 2 - 0
135.681 - Brazil - Cote d'Ivoire 3 - 1
131.472 - Paraguay - Slovakia 2 - 0
Bottom 10 averaged results
15.912 - Mexico - South Africa 1 - 1
29.629 - South Africa - Mexico 1 - 1
30.43 - Korea Republic - Nigeria 2 - 2
32.211 - Ghana - Australia 1 - 1
32.513 - Nigeria - Korea Republic 2 - 2
34.079 - USA - Slovenia 2 - 2
34.723 - Italy - New Zealand 1 - 1
34.723 - Slovakia - New Zealand 1 - 1
37.389 - USA - England 1 - 1
43.938 - Australia - Ghana 1 - 1
Top 10 Elo points exchanged
53 - Switzerland - Spain 1 - 0
45 - Serbia - Germany 1 - 0
41 - Ghana - Serbia 1 - 0
41 - Mexico - France 2 - 0
41 - South Africa - France 2 - 1
40 - Korea Republic - Greece 2 - 0
35 - Uruguay - South Africa 3 - 0
35 - Uruguay - Mexico 1 - 0
34 - Argentina - Korea Republic 4 - 1
32 - Japan - Cameroon 1 - 0
32 - Greece - Nigeria 2 - 1
Interesting analysis (with all kind of probabilities) from Voros. He has also updated the team rankings.
A look at the FIFA match points.
Top 10 results
2376 - Switzerland - Spain 1 - 0
2328 - Serbia - Germany 1 - 0
2221.56 - Argentina - Greece 2 - 0
2120.1 - South Africa - France 2 - 1
2120.1 - Mexico - France - 2 - 1
2090.88 - Chile - Switzerland 1 - 0
2075.7 - Korea Republic - Greece 2 - 0
2053.5 - Ghana - Serbia 1 - 0
2009.34 - Uruguay - Mexic 1 - 0
2009.1 - Denmark - Cameroon 2 - 1
Bottom 10 results
(losses not included)
397.8 - Mexico - South Africa 1 - 1
451.4 - Italy - New Zealand 1 - 1
451.4 - Slovakia - New Zealand 1 - 1
520.2 - Nigeria - Korea Republic 2 - 2
571.2 - Australia - Ghana 1 - 1
608.6 - Korea Republic - Nigeria 2 - 2
612 - Ghana - Australia 1 - 1
614.2 - New Zealand - Slovakia 1 - 1
622.2 - South Africa - Mexico 1 - 1
629 - England - Algeria 0 - 0
Average results - how many points a team actually received.
Top 10 averaged results
198 - Switzerland - Spain 1 - 0
179.077 - Serbia - Germany 1 - 0
157.25 - Slovenia - Algeria 1 - 0
154.565 - Uruguay - Mexic 1 - 0
153.692 - Germany - Australia 4 - 0
152.838 - Greece - Nigeria 2 - 1
140.571 - Netherlands - Denmark 2 - 0
138.848 - Argentina - Greece 2 - 0
135.681 - Brazil - Cote d'Ivoire 3 - 1
131.472 - Paraguay - Slovakia 2 - 0
Bottom 10 averaged results
15.912 - Mexico - South Africa 1 - 1
29.629 - South Africa - Mexico 1 - 1
30.43 - Korea Republic - Nigeria 2 - 2
32.211 - Ghana - Australia 1 - 1
32.513 - Nigeria - Korea Republic 2 - 2
34.079 - USA - Slovenia 2 - 2
34.723 - Italy - New Zealand 1 - 1
34.723 - Slovakia - New Zealand 1 - 1
37.389 - USA - England 1 - 1
43.938 - Australia - Ghana 1 - 1
Top 10 Elo points exchanged
53 - Switzerland - Spain 1 - 0
45 - Serbia - Germany 1 - 0
41 - Ghana - Serbia 1 - 0
41 - Mexico - France 2 - 0
41 - South Africa - France 2 - 1
40 - Korea Republic - Greece 2 - 0
35 - Uruguay - South Africa 3 - 0
35 - Uruguay - Mexico 1 - 0
34 - Argentina - Korea Republic 4 - 1
32 - Japan - Cameroon 1 - 0
32 - Greece - Nigeria 2 - 1
Wednesday, October 14, 2009
2010 World Cup: Seeding formula based on qualification chances (12 October 2009)
Seeded teams for the 2010 FIFA World Cup South Africa using the 2006 FIFA World Cup seeding formula (see Wikipedia). The November 2009 ranking is computed as if no more matches would be played between today and November 20th.
Qualified teams determined using Voros' qualification chances (as of October 12th).
Uruguay/Costa Rica/Slovenia replace Ecuador/Honduras/Slovakia.
Portugal replace France as seed.
Rank in the seeding table - Country - Total - Performance points - FIFA Ranking Points
The pots:
Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, Germany, Italy, Portugal, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Denmark, France, Greece, Netherlands, Russia, Serbia, Slovenia, Switzerland
Pot 3: Australia, Bahrain, Costa Rica, Japan, Korea DPR, Korea Republic, Mexico, USA
Pot 4: Algeria, Cameroon, Chile, Côte d'Ivoire, Ghana, Paraguay, Tunisia, Uruguay
Possible draw (using random.org):
Group A: South Africa, Denmark, Australia, Chile
Group B: England, Netherlands, Bahrain, Algeria
Group C: Portugal, Greece, USA, Ghana
Group D: Spain, Slovenia, Costa Rica, Uruguay
Group E: Argentina, Serbia, Korea DPR, Côte d'Ivoire
Group F: Italy, France, Mexico, Cameroon
Group G: Germany, Russia, Korea Republic, Paraguay
Group H: Brazil, Switzerland, Japan, Tunisia
Qualified teams determined using Voros' qualification chances (as of October 12th).
Uruguay/Costa Rica/Slovenia replace Ecuador/Honduras/Slovakia.
Portugal replace France as seed.
Rank in the seeding table - Country - Total - Performance points - FIFA Ranking Points
1 Brazil 59.7 29.3 30.3Top 7 + South Africa seeded.
2 Germany 59.3 30.3 29.0
3 Italy 56.7 27.3 29.3
4 Spain 56.0 25.3 30.7
5 England 51.7 26.3 25.3
6 Argentina 49.3 21.0 28.3
7 Portugal 47.3 22.3 25.0
--------------------------------
8 France 47.0 23.3 23.7
9 Netherlands 43.0 14.7 28.3
10 Mexico 37.7 19.3 18.3
11 USA 35.0 13.7 21.3
12 Switzerland 31.0 15.3 15.7
13 Paraguay 31.0 11.7 19.3
14 Ghana 25.3 13.3 12.0
15 Russia 25.3 3.0 22.3
16 Korea Republic 24.3 15.7 8.7
17 Japan 24.0 13.3 10.7
18 Cameroon 23.7 3.0 20.7
19 Australia 22.0 11.3 10.7
20 Serbia 21.3 5.3 16.0
21 Denmark 20.3 7.7 12.7
22 Greece 20.0 0.0 20.0
23 Côte d'Ivoire 19.7 6.0 13.7
24 Uruguay 18.3 2.7 15.7
25 Tunisia 15.0 8.7 6.3
26 Costa Rica 14.7 8.3 6.3
27 Chile 10.7 0.0 10.7
28 Slovenia 7.0 2.7 4.3
29 South Africa 6.0 3.0 3.0
30 Algeria 6.0 0.0 6.0
31 Bahrain 2.3 0.0 2.3
32 Korea DPR 1.3 0.0 1.3
The pots:
Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, Germany, Italy, Portugal, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Denmark, France, Greece, Netherlands, Russia, Serbia, Slovenia, Switzerland
Pot 3: Australia, Bahrain, Costa Rica, Japan, Korea DPR, Korea Republic, Mexico, USA
Pot 4: Algeria, Cameroon, Chile, Côte d'Ivoire, Ghana, Paraguay, Tunisia, Uruguay
Possible draw (using random.org):
Group A: South Africa, Denmark, Australia, Chile
Group B: England, Netherlands, Bahrain, Algeria
Group C: Portugal, Greece, USA, Ghana
Group D: Spain, Slovenia, Costa Rica, Uruguay
Group E: Argentina, Serbia, Korea DPR, Côte d'Ivoire
Group F: Italy, France, Mexico, Cameroon
Group G: Germany, Russia, Korea Republic, Paraguay
Group H: Brazil, Switzerland, Japan, Tunisia
Friday, September 18, 2009
2010 World Cup: Seeding formula based on qualification chances (18 September 2009)
Seeded teams for the 2010 FIFA World Cup South Africa using the 2006 FIFA World Cup seeding formula (see Wikipedia). The November 2009 ranking is computed as if no more matches would be played between today and November 20th.
Qualified teams determined using Voros' qualification chances.
Bahrain/Cameroon/Ecuador/Portugal replace Costa Rica/Croatia/Gabon/Saudi Arabia.
Rank in the seeding table - Country - Total - Performance points - FIFA Ranking Points
The pots:
Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Denmark, Greece, Netherlands, Portugal, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Switzerland
Pot 3: Australia, Bahrain, Honduras, Japan, Korea DPR, Korea Republic, Mexico, USA
Pot 4: Algeria, Cameroon, Chile, Côte d'Ivoire, Ecuador, Ghana, Paraguay, Tunisia
Possible draw (using random.org):
Group A: South Africa, Switzerland, Korea DPR, Chile
Group B: England, Slovakia, Japan, Côte d'Ivoire
Group C: Spain, Russia, Korea Republic, Ecuador
Group D: Brazil, Netherlands, USA, Tunisia
Group E: Germany, Portugal, Australia, Cameroon
Group F: Italy, Serbia, Bahrain, Paraguay
Group G: Argentina, Denmark, Mexico, Ghana
Group H: France, Greece, Honduras, Algeria
Qualified teams determined using Voros' qualification chances.
Bahrain/Cameroon/Ecuador/Portugal replace Costa Rica/Croatia/Gabon/Saudi Arabia.
Rank in the seeding table - Country - Total - Performance points - FIFA Ranking Points
1 Brazil 59.7 29.3 30.3Top 7 + South Africa seeded.
2 Germany 58.7 30.3 28.3
3 Italy 56.7 27.3 29.3
4 Spain 56.0 25.3 30.7
5 England 52.0 26.3 25.7
6 France 48.3 23.3 25.0
7 Argentina 48.3 21.0 27.3
--------------------------------
8 Portugal 46.0 22.3 23.7
9 Netherlands 43.0 14.7 28.3
10 Mexico 38.0 19.3 18.7
11 USA 35.0 13.7 21.3
12 Switzerland 31.7 15.3 16.3
13 Paraguay 30.0 11.7 18.3
14 Ghana 28.3 13.3 15.0
15 Russia 26.7 3.0 23.7
16 Ecuador 25.7 17.0 8.7
17 Korea Republic 24.0 15.7 8.3
18 Japan 24.0 13.3 10.7
19 Cameroon 23.7 3.0 20.7
20 Australia 22.0 11.3 10.7
21 Côte d'Ivoire 21.7 6.0 15.7
22 Denmark 21.0 7.7 13.3
23 Serbia 21.0 5.3 15.7
24 Greece 18.7 0.0 18.7
25 Tunisia 14.7 8.7 6.0
26 Chile 10.7 0.0 10.7
27 Honduras 7.7 0.0 7.7
28 Algeria 6.7 0.0 6.7
29 Slovakia 6.3 0.0 6.3
30 South Africa 5.7 3.0 2.7
31 Bahrain 2.3 0.0 2.3
32 Korea DPR 1.3 0.0 1.3
The pots:
Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Denmark, Greece, Netherlands, Portugal, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Switzerland
Pot 3: Australia, Bahrain, Honduras, Japan, Korea DPR, Korea Republic, Mexico, USA
Pot 4: Algeria, Cameroon, Chile, Côte d'Ivoire, Ecuador, Ghana, Paraguay, Tunisia
Possible draw (using random.org):
Group A: South Africa, Switzerland, Korea DPR, Chile
Group B: England, Slovakia, Japan, Côte d'Ivoire
Group C: Spain, Russia, Korea Republic, Ecuador
Group D: Brazil, Netherlands, USA, Tunisia
Group E: Germany, Portugal, Australia, Cameroon
Group F: Italy, Serbia, Bahrain, Paraguay
Group G: Argentina, Denmark, Mexico, Ghana
Group H: France, Greece, Honduras, Algeria
Saturday, September 5, 2009
2010 World Cup: Seeding formula based on qualification chances (4 September 2009)
Seeded teams for the 2010 FIFA World Cup South Africa.
Qualified teams determined using Voros' qualification chances.
Croatia replace the Czech Republic.
Rank in the seeding table - Country - Total - Performance points - FIFA Ranking Points
The pots:
Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Croatia, Denmark, Greece, Netherlands, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Switzerland
Pot 3: Australia, Costa Rica, Honduras, Japan, Korea DPR, Korea Republic, Mexico, Saudi Arabia
Pot 4: Algeria, Chile, Côte d'Ivoire, Gabon, Ghana, Paraguay, Tunisia
Special pot: USA
For an explanation regarding the special pot, see this World Cup seeding post.
Possible draw (using random.org):
Group A: South Africa, Croatia, Korea Republic, Paraguay
Group B: France, Greece, Honduras, Ghana
Group C: Argentina, Russia, Japan, Gabon
Group D: Brazil, Denmark, Mexico, Côte d'Ivoire
Group E: England, Slovakia, Saudi Arabia, USA
Group F: Italy, Serbia, Australia, Chile
Group G: Spain, Netherlands, Costa Rica, Tunisia
Group H: Germany, Switzerland, Korea DPR, Algeria
Qualified teams determined using Voros' qualification chances.
Croatia replace the Czech Republic.
Rank in the seeding table - Country - Total - Performance points - FIFA Ranking Points
1 Brazil 59.7 29.3 30.3Top 7 + South Africa seeded.
2 Germany 59.3 30.3 29.0
3 Italy 56.7 27.3 29.3
4 Spain 56.0 25.3 30.7
5 England 51.0 26.3 24.7
6 Argentina 49.0 21.0 28.0
7 France 47.7 23.3 24.3
--------------------------------
8 Netherlands 43.3 14.7 28.7
9 Mexico 36.7 19.3 17.3
10 USA 34.7 13.7 21.0
11 Croatia 34.0 9.0 25.0
12 Switzerland 31.7 15.3 16.3
13 Paraguay 30.3 11.7 18.7
14 Ghana 27.7 13.3 14.3
15 Russia 26.3 3.0 23.3
16 Australia 26.0 11.3 14.7
17 Japan 25.7 13.3 12.3
18 Korea Republic 25.0 15.7 9.3
19 Denmark 22.7 7.7 15.0
20 Serbia 22.7 5.3 17.3
21 Greece 22.0 0.0 22.0
22 Côte d'Ivoire 21.3 6.0 15.3
23 Tunisia 15.7 8.7 7.0
24 Costa Rica 15.0 8.3 6.7
25 Saudi Arabia 13.0 8.0 5.0
26 Chile 13.0 0.0 13.0
27 Honduras 8.7 0.0 8.7
28 Slovakia 7.0 0.0 7.0
29 South Africa 5.7 3.0 2.7
30 Gabon 5.7 0.0 5.7
31 Algeria 4.3 0.0 4.3
32 Korea DPR 1.0 0.0 1.0
The pots:
Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Croatia, Denmark, Greece, Netherlands, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Switzerland
Pot 3: Australia, Costa Rica, Honduras, Japan, Korea DPR, Korea Republic, Mexico, Saudi Arabia
Pot 4: Algeria, Chile, Côte d'Ivoire, Gabon, Ghana, Paraguay, Tunisia
Special pot: USA
For an explanation regarding the special pot, see this World Cup seeding post.
Possible draw (using random.org):
Group A: South Africa, Croatia, Korea Republic, Paraguay
Group B: France, Greece, Honduras, Ghana
Group C: Argentina, Russia, Japan, Gabon
Group D: Brazil, Denmark, Mexico, Côte d'Ivoire
Group E: England, Slovakia, Saudi Arabia, USA
Group F: Italy, Serbia, Australia, Chile
Group G: Spain, Netherlands, Costa Rica, Tunisia
Group H: Germany, Switzerland, Korea DPR, Algeria
Friday, August 7, 2009
2010 World Cup: Seeding formula based on qualification chances (7 August 2009)
Seeded teams for the 2010 FIFA World Cup South Africa.
Qualified teams determined using Voros' qualification chances.
No changes.
Rank in the seeding table - Country - Total - Performance points - FIFA Ranking Points
The pots:
Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Czech Republic, Denmark, Greece, Netherlands, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Switzerland
Pot 3: Australia, Costa Rica, Honduras, Japan, Korea DPR, Korea Republic, Mexico, Saudi Arabia
Pot 4: Algeria, Chile, Côte d'Ivoire, Gabon, Ghana, Paraguay, Tunisia
Special pot: USA
For an explanation regarding the special pot, see this World Cup seeding post.
Possible draw (using random.org):
Group A: South Africa, Russia, Costa Rica, Chile
Group B: Brazil, Serbia, Mexico, Gabon
Group C: England, Switzerland, Honduras, Tunisia
Group D: Spain, Denmark, Korea DPR, Paraguay
Group E: France, Slovakia, Saudi Arabia, Ghana
Group F: Italy, Greece, Korea Republic, USA
Group G: Germany, Netherlands, Australia, Algeria
Group H: Argentina, Czech Republic, Japan, Côte d'Ivoire
Qualified teams determined using Voros' qualification chances.
No changes.
Rank in the seeding table - Country - Total - Performance points - FIFA Ranking Points
1 Germany 59.7 30.3 29.3Top 7 + South Africa seeded.
2 Brazil 59.7 29.3 30.3
3 Italy 56.3 27.3 29.0
4 Spain 56.0 25.3 30.7
5 England 51.3 26.3 25.0
6 Argentina 49.0 21.0 28.0
7 France 47.7 23.3 24.3
--------------------------------
8 Netherlands 43.0 14.7 28.3
9 Mexico 36.7 19.3 17.3
10 USA 34.7 13.7 21.0
11 Switzerland 32.7 15.3 17.3
12 Paraguay 31.0 11.7 19.3
13 Czech Republic 28.0 6.0 22.0
14 Ghana 27.0 13.3 13.7
15 Russia 26.7 3.0 23.7
16 Australia 25.7 11.3 14.3
17 Japan 25.3 13.3 12.0
18 Korea Republic 25.0 15.7 9.3
19 Denmark 23.3 7.7 15.7
20 Serbia 22.7 5.3 17.3
21 Greece 22.7 0.0 22.7
22 Côte d'Ivoire 21.7 6.0 15.7
23 Tunisia 15.7 8.7 7.0
24 Costa Rica 14.7 8.3 6.3
25 Saudi Arabia 13.0 8.0 5.0
26 Chile 12.7 0.0 12.7
27 Slovakia 8.7 0.0 8.7
28 Honduras 8.3 0.0 8.3
29 Gabon 6.0 0.0 6.0
30 South Africa 5.7 3.0 2.7
31 Algeria 4.0 0.0 4.0
32 Korea DPR 1.0 0.0 1.0
The pots:
Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Czech Republic, Denmark, Greece, Netherlands, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Switzerland
Pot 3: Australia, Costa Rica, Honduras, Japan, Korea DPR, Korea Republic, Mexico, Saudi Arabia
Pot 4: Algeria, Chile, Côte d'Ivoire, Gabon, Ghana, Paraguay, Tunisia
Special pot: USA
For an explanation regarding the special pot, see this World Cup seeding post.
Possible draw (using random.org):
Group A: South Africa, Russia, Costa Rica, Chile
Group B: Brazil, Serbia, Mexico, Gabon
Group C: England, Switzerland, Honduras, Tunisia
Group D: Spain, Denmark, Korea DPR, Paraguay
Group E: France, Slovakia, Saudi Arabia, Ghana
Group F: Italy, Greece, Korea Republic, USA
Group G: Germany, Netherlands, Australia, Algeria
Group H: Argentina, Czech Republic, Japan, Côte d'Ivoire
Wednesday, July 8, 2009
2010 WC: Seeding formula based on qualification chances (8 July 2009)
Seeded teams for the 2010 FIFA World Cup South Africa.
Qualified teams determined using Voros' qualification chances.
Korea DPR/Algeria/Gabon/Czech Republic/Honduras replace Iran/Egypt/Cameroon/Sweden/Uruguay.
The pots:
Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Czech Republic, Denmark, Greece, Netherlands, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Switzerland
Pot 3: Australia, Costa Rica, Honduras, Japan, Korea DPR, Korea Republic, Mexico, Saudi Arabia
Pot 4: Algeria, Chile, Cote d'Ivoire, Gabon, Ghana, Paraguay, Tunisia
Special pot: USA
An explanation regarding the special pot, see this World Cup seeding post.
Possible draw (using random.org):
Group A: South Africa, Slovakia, Honduras, Paraguay
Group B: Brazil, Serbia, Mexico, Gabon
Group C: France, Greece, Australia, Cote d'Ivoire
Group D: Germany, Czech Republic, Korea DPR, Chile
Group E: Spain, Russia, Japan, Algeria
Group F: Italy, Denmark, Costa Rica, Tunisia
Group G: Argentina, Netherlands, Korea Republic, Ghana
Group H: England, Switzerland, Saudi Arabia, USA
Qualified teams determined using Voros' qualification chances.
Korea DPR/Algeria/Gabon/Czech Republic/Honduras replace Iran/Egypt/Cameroon/Sweden/Uruguay.
1 Brazil 59.7 29.3 30.3Top 7 + South Africa seeded.
2 Germany 59.3 30.3 29.0
3 Italy 56.7 27.3 29.3
4 Spain 56.0 25.3 30.7
5 England 51.3 26.3 25.0
6 Argentina 49.0 21.0 28.0
7 France 47.7 23.3 24.3
--------------------------------
8 Netherlands 43.0 14.7 28.3
9 Mexico 36.0 19.3 16.7
10 USA 34.7 13.7 21.0
11 Switzerland 32.7 15.3 17.3
12 Paraguay 30.7 11.7 19.0
13 Czech Republic 28.3 6.0 22.3
14 Ghana 27.0 13.3 13.7
15 Russia 26.7 3.0 23.7
16 Australia 25.7 11.3 14.3
17 Japan 25.3 13.3 12.0
18 Korea Republic 25.0 15.7 9.3
19 Denmark 23.3 7.7 15.7
20 Serbia 22.7 5.3 17.3
21 Greece 22.7 0.0 22.7
22 Cote d'Ivoire 21.7 6.0 15.7
23 Costa Rica 16.0 8.3 7.7
24 Tunisia 15.7 8.7 7.0
25 Saudi Arabia 13.0 8.0 5.0
26 Chile 12.7 0.0 12.7
27 Honduras 9.0 0.0 9.0
28 Slovakia 7.3 0.0 7.3
29 Gabon 6.0 0.0 6.0
30 South Africa 5.7 3.0 2.7
31 Algeria 4.0 0.0 4.0
32 Korea DPR 1.0 0.0 1.0
The pots:
Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Czech Republic, Denmark, Greece, Netherlands, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Switzerland
Pot 3: Australia, Costa Rica, Honduras, Japan, Korea DPR, Korea Republic, Mexico, Saudi Arabia
Pot 4: Algeria, Chile, Cote d'Ivoire, Gabon, Ghana, Paraguay, Tunisia
Special pot: USA
An explanation regarding the special pot, see this World Cup seeding post.
Possible draw (using random.org):
Group A: South Africa, Slovakia, Honduras, Paraguay
Group B: Brazil, Serbia, Mexico, Gabon
Group C: France, Greece, Australia, Cote d'Ivoire
Group D: Germany, Czech Republic, Korea DPR, Chile
Group E: Spain, Russia, Japan, Algeria
Group F: Italy, Denmark, Costa Rica, Tunisia
Group G: Argentina, Netherlands, Korea Republic, Ghana
Group H: England, Switzerland, Saudi Arabia, USA
Wednesday, June 3, 2009
2010 WC: Seeding formula based on qualification chances (3 June 2009)
Seeded teams for the 2010 FIFA World Cup South Africa.
Qualified teams determined using Voros' qualification chances.
No changes.
The pots:
Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Denmark, Greece, Netherlands, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Sweden, Switzerland
Pot 3: Australia, Costa Rica, Iran, Japan, Korea Republic, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, USA
Pot 4: Cameroon, Chile, Cote d'Ivoire, Egypt, Ghana, Paraguay, Tunisia, Uruguay
Possible draw (using random.org):
Group A: South Africa, Slovakia, Iran, Uruguay
Group B: England, Denmark, Japan, Egypt
Group C: France, Russia, Costa Rica, Cote d'Ivoire
Group D: Germany, Netherlands, USA, Paraguay
Group E: Brazil, Switzerland, Saudi Arabia, Ghana
Group F: Italy, Serbia, Korea Republic, Chile
Group G: Argentina, Greece, Australia, Cameroon
Group H: Spain, Sweden, Mexico, Tunisia
Qualified teams determined using Voros' qualification chances.
No changes.
1 Germany 60.0 30.3 29.7Top 7 + South Africa seeded.
2 Brazil 58.3 29.3 29.0
3 Italy 56.7 27.3 29.3
4 Spain 56.3 25.3 31.0
5 England 52.0 26.3 25.7
6 Argentina 49.3 21.0 28.3
7 France 48.3 23.3 25.0
--------------------------------
8 Netherlands 43.7 14.7 29.0
9 Mexico 37.0 19.3 17.7
10 USA 34.7 13.7 21.0
11 Paraguay 33.3 11.7 21.7
12 Sweden 33.0 19.3 13.7
13 Switzerland 30.7 15.3 15.3
14 Russia 26.3 3.0 23.3
15 Japan 25.3 13.3 12.0
16 Ghana 25.3 13.3 12.0
17 Korea Republic 23.0 15.7 7.3
18 Australia 22.3 11.3 11.0
19 Cameroon 22.3 3.0 19.3
20 Greece 21.7 0.0 21.7
21 Serbia 21.0 5.3 15.7
22 Denmark 20.7 7.7 13.0
23 Uruguay 20.3 2.7 17.7
24 Cote d'Ivoire 17.7 6.0 11.7
25 Egypt 14.0 0.0 14.0
26 Tunisia 13.3 8.7 4.7
27 Costa Rica 12.0 8.3 3.7
28 Iran 12.0 5.3 6.7
29 Saudi Arabia 10.7 8.0 2.7
30 Chile 9.3 0.0 9.3
31 Slovakia 5.0 0.0 5.0
32 South Africa 4.0 3.0 1.0
The pots:
Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Denmark, Greece, Netherlands, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Sweden, Switzerland
Pot 3: Australia, Costa Rica, Iran, Japan, Korea Republic, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, USA
Pot 4: Cameroon, Chile, Cote d'Ivoire, Egypt, Ghana, Paraguay, Tunisia, Uruguay
Possible draw (using random.org):
Group A: South Africa, Slovakia, Iran, Uruguay
Group B: England, Denmark, Japan, Egypt
Group C: France, Russia, Costa Rica, Cote d'Ivoire
Group D: Germany, Netherlands, USA, Paraguay
Group E: Brazil, Switzerland, Saudi Arabia, Ghana
Group F: Italy, Serbia, Korea Republic, Chile
Group G: Argentina, Greece, Australia, Cameroon
Group H: Spain, Sweden, Mexico, Tunisia
Wednesday, May 6, 2009
2010 WC: Seeding formula based on qualification chances (6 May 2009)
Seeded teams for the 2010 FIFA World Cup South Africa.
Qualified teams determined using Voros' qualification chances.
No changes.
The pots:
Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Denmark, Greece, Netherlands, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Sweden, Switzerland
Pot 3: Australia, Costa Rica, Iran, Japan, Korea Republic, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, USA
Pot 4: Cameroon, Chile, Cote d'Ivoire, Egypt, Ghana, Paraguay, Tunisia, Uruguay
Possible draw (using random.org):
Group A: South Africa, Russia, Iran, Uruguay
Group B: Spain, Netherlands, Mexico, Chile
Group C: France, Slovakia, USA, Cameroon
Group D: England, Sweden, Korea Republic, Egypt
Group E: Germany, Switzerland, Australia, Paraguay
Group F: Italy, Denmark, Costa Rica, Tunisia
Group G: Argentina, Greece, Japan, Cote d'Ivoire
Group H: Brazil, Serbia, Saudi Arabia, Ghana
Qualified teams determined using Voros' qualification chances.
No changes.
1 Germany 60.3 30.3 30.0Top 7 + South Africa seeded.
2 Brazil 58.7 29.3 29.3
3 Italy 56.3 27.3 29.0
4 Spain 56.3 25.3 31.0
5 England 51.7 26.3 25.3
6 Argentina 49.7 21.0 28.7
7 France 48.3 23.3 25.0
--------------------------------
8 Netherlands 43.3 14.7 28.7
9 Mexico 37.3 19.3 18.0
10 USA 34.7 13.7 21.0
11 Sweden 32.7 19.3 13.3
12 Paraguay 32.3 11.7 20.7
13 Switzerland 30.0 15.3 14.7
14 Russia 26.3 3.0 23.3
15 Ghana 26.0 13.3 12.7
16 Japan 24.3 13.3 11.0
17 Korea Republic 23.3 15.7 7.7
18 Cameroon 22.7 3.0 19.7
19 Greece 22.7 0.0 22.7
20 Australia 21.7 11.3 10.3
21 Uruguay 21.0 2.7 18.3
22 Serbia 20.7 5.3 15.3
23 Denmark 20.0 7.7 12.3
24 Cote d'Ivoire 17.7 6.0 11.7
25 Egypt 14.0 0.0 14.0
26 Tunisia 13.3 8.7 4.7
27 Costa Rica 12.0 8.3 3.7
28 Iran 12.0 5.3 6.7
29 Chile 11.0 0.0 11.0
30 Saudi Arabia 10.7 8.0 2.7
31 Slovakia 4.7 0.0 4.7
32 South Africa 4.0 3.0 1.0
The pots:
Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Denmark, Greece, Netherlands, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Sweden, Switzerland
Pot 3: Australia, Costa Rica, Iran, Japan, Korea Republic, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, USA
Pot 4: Cameroon, Chile, Cote d'Ivoire, Egypt, Ghana, Paraguay, Tunisia, Uruguay
Possible draw (using random.org):
Group A: South Africa, Russia, Iran, Uruguay
Group B: Spain, Netherlands, Mexico, Chile
Group C: France, Slovakia, USA, Cameroon
Group D: England, Sweden, Korea Republic, Egypt
Group E: Germany, Switzerland, Australia, Paraguay
Group F: Italy, Denmark, Costa Rica, Tunisia
Group G: Argentina, Greece, Japan, Cote d'Ivoire
Group H: Brazil, Serbia, Saudi Arabia, Ghana
Wednesday, April 8, 2009
2010 WC: Seeding formula based on qualification chances (8 April 2009)
Seeded teams for the 2010 FIFA World Cup South Africa.
Qualified teams determined using Voros' qualification chances.
The pots:
Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Denmark, Greece, Netherlands, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Sweden, Switzerland
Pot 3: Australia, Costa Rica, Iran, Japan, Korea Republic, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, USA
Pot 4: Cameroon, Chile, Cote d'Ivoire, Egypt, Ghana, Paraguay, Tunisia, Uruguay
Possible draw (using random.org):
Group A: South Africa, Russia, Australia, Paraguay
Group B: Germany, Netherlands, Iran, Cote d'Ivoire
Group C: Brazil, Denmark, Japan, Ghana
Group D: Spain, Sweden, Mexico, Cameroon
Group E: France, Slovakia, USA, Egypt
Group F: Italy, Serbia, Korea Republic, Chile
Group G: England, Switzerland, Costa Rica, Uruguay
Group H: Argentina, Greece, Saudi Arabia, Tunisia
Qualified teams determined using Voros' qualification chances.
1 Germany 60.3 30.3 30.0Top 7 + South Africa seeded.
2 Brazil 58.7 29.3 29.3
3 Italy 56.3 27.3 29.0
4 Spain 56.3 25.3 31.0
5 England 51.7 26.3 25.3
6 Argentina 49.7 21.0 28.7
7 France 48.3 23.3 25.0
--------------------------------
8 Netherlands 43.3 14.7 28.7
9 Mexico 37.3 19.3 18.0
10 USA 34.7 13.7 21.0
11 Sweden 32.7 19.3 13.3
12 Paraguay 32.3 11.7 20.7
13 Switzerland 30.0 15.3 14.7
14 Russia 26.3 3.0 23.3
15 Ghana 26.0 13.3 12.7
16 Japan 24.3 13.3 11.0
17 Korea Republic 23.3 15.7 7.7
18 Cameroon 22.7 3.0 19.7
19 Greece 22.7 0.0 22.7
20 Australia 21.7 11.3 10.3
21 Uruguay 21.0 2.7 18.3
22 Serbia 20.7 5.3 15.3
23 Denmark 20.0 7.7 12.3
24 Cote d'Ivoire 17.7 6.0 11.7
25 Egypt 14.0 0.0 14.0
26 Tunisia 13.3 8.7 4.7
27 Costa Rica 12.0 8.3 3.7
28 Iran 12.0 5.3 6.7
29 Chile 11.0 0.0 11.0
30 Saudi Arabia 10.7 8.0 2.7
31 Slovakia 4.7 0.0 4.7
32 South Africa 4.0 3.0 1.0
The pots:
Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Denmark, Greece, Netherlands, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Sweden, Switzerland
Pot 3: Australia, Costa Rica, Iran, Japan, Korea Republic, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, USA
Pot 4: Cameroon, Chile, Cote d'Ivoire, Egypt, Ghana, Paraguay, Tunisia, Uruguay
Possible draw (using random.org):
Group A: South Africa, Russia, Australia, Paraguay
Group B: Germany, Netherlands, Iran, Cote d'Ivoire
Group C: Brazil, Denmark, Japan, Ghana
Group D: Spain, Sweden, Mexico, Cameroon
Group E: France, Slovakia, USA, Egypt
Group F: Italy, Serbia, Korea Republic, Chile
Group G: England, Switzerland, Costa Rica, Uruguay
Group H: Argentina, Greece, Saudi Arabia, Tunisia
Friday, March 20, 2009
The Voros ranking returns!
Three months late, but here's a piece of good news for those interested in football/soccer rankings: Voros McCracken's National Team Rankings are back, after more than 17 months.
In May 2007, Voros published the last ranking on Numeri di Calcio. On December 15th, 2008 the rankings were published on vorosmccracken.com.
Here's the latest ranking (February 12th, 2009) and an assessment of qualification chances for the remaining teams.
Welcome back, Voros!
Duly added to the Link List.
More details on Voros' ranking system can be found in this post (also see this comment made by Voros).
In May 2007, Voros published the last ranking on Numeri di Calcio. On December 15th, 2008 the rankings were published on vorosmccracken.com.
Here's the latest ranking (February 12th, 2009) and an assessment of qualification chances for the remaining teams.
Welcome back, Voros!
Duly added to the Link List.
More details on Voros' ranking system can be found in this post (also see this comment made by Voros).
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