Both the SFA and the Scottish media :)
This morning I read two amusing articles about Scotland's hastily arranged friendly against the Faroe Islands.
First - this lovely piece from the Scotsman, with a title to match (Glance at alarming Fifa rankings should be enough to motivate Scots):
" Now the manager has the twin purpose of assessing the multiple newcomers in his squad while trying to ensure a victory which will give Scotland at least some precious ranking points."
And then this article from Herald's Hugh MacDonald:
"The match tonight at Pittodrie has already attracted some unfriendly fire but the Scotland manager made a persuasive case yesterday for how the fixture has considerable value for the team and the management. This game has been dismissed as unwelcome, useless and a tedious diversion in the midst of an increasingly frenetic club campaign. Levein stood firm against these accusations, stressing both his enthusiasm for the match and the value inherent in it. He made three excellent points.
The first is that friendly matches count towards world rankings and those positions are subsequently considered in the World Cup draw. The second is that Levein must cherish any time he spends with Scotland players. The third is that international careers must start somewhere, including on a chilly Pittodrie in November."
I don't want to rain on Scotland's parade (they did win 3 - 0 - congratulations!), but they are wrong... big time! If one of your goals is to climb in the rankings, playing a friendly against Faroe Islands is a really, really, really bad idea. Why? Because since the Faroese are ranked 131st in the November 2010 ranking, it will give Scotland only 207 points (don't add them to what they already have, it's a bit more complicated). While it will work as a short term fix, because of Scotland's awful recent results, in the long run it might hurt their ranking. If Scotland win their remaining three friendlies (each worth more than 207 points), the Faroe Islands match will bring their average down. The Scottish FA should have looked to Armenia for instance - ranked 59th, a win against them would have brought 423 points. Armenia were interested to play a friendly on November 17 but were unable to find an opponent. So to sum it up - playing against the Faroe Islands actually hurt Scotland's ranking.
For their sake, I hope this match doesn't come back to haunt them in July 2011.
Showing posts with label preliminarii. Show all posts
Showing posts with label preliminarii. Show all posts
Wednesday, November 17, 2010
Friday, December 11, 2009
UEFA looking to avoid repeat of Armenia - Azerbaijan problems
According to News.az, Azerbaijan will not play Armenia and Russia will not play Georgia in the EURO 2012 qualifiers.
The teams will be kept apart in the draw for the qualifying groups, the secretary general of the Georgian Football Federation, Revaz Arvelazde, said on Thursday, after meetings with UEFA, according to Russian newspaper Vzglyad.
Armenia and Azerbaijan were drawn together in Group A of the Euro 2008 qualifiers, but both matches were canceled after the two countries couldn't agree on match venues. Armenia wanted the games played on a normal home and away basis but Azerbaijan refused to host the Armenians and proposed a neutral ground for both matches.
The teams will be kept apart in the draw for the qualifying groups, the secretary general of the Georgian Football Federation, Revaz Arvelazde, said on Thursday, after meetings with UEFA, according to Russian newspaper Vzglyad.
Armenia and Azerbaijan were drawn together in Group A of the Euro 2008 qualifiers, but both matches were canceled after the two countries couldn't agree on match venues. Armenia wanted the games played on a normal home and away basis but Azerbaijan refused to host the Armenians and proposed a neutral ground for both matches.
Friday, November 20, 2009
EURO 2012: Qualifying draw coefficients (20 November 2009)
This is the final version.
The coefficients for the EURO 2012 qualifying draw will take into account results from:
2006 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
The draw will take place on 7 February 2010.
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
UEFA will use a qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams (Poland (26620) and Ukraine (28133) - automatically qualified as hosts).
Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points
The coefficients for the EURO 2012 qualifying draw will take into account results from:
2006 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
The draw will take place on 7 February 2010.
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
UEFA will use a qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams (Poland (26620) and Ukraine (28133) - automatically qualified as hosts).
Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points
1 1 Spain 39964
2 2 Germany 38294
3 3 Netherlands 37821
4 4 Italy 35838
5 5 England 34819
6 6 Croatia 33677
7 9 Portugal 33226
8 8 France 32551
9 7 Russia 32477
------------------------------
10 13 Greece 31268
11 10 Czech Republic 30871
12 11 Sweden 30695
13 12 Switzerland 30395
14 14 Serbia 29811
15 15 Turkey 29447
16 16 Denmark 29222
17 17 Slovakia 28228
18 18 Romania 28145
------------------------------
19 19 Israel 28052
20 20 Bulgaria 27198
21 21 Finland 26827
22 22 Norway 26210
23 24 Ireland 25971
24 23 Scotland 25646
25 25 Northern Ireland 24518
26 27 Austria 24381
27 26 Bosnia-Herzegovina 24365
------------------------------
28 29 Slovenia 24221
29 28 Latvia 23303
30 30 Hungary 23048
31 31 Lithuania 22071
32 32 Belarus 21515
33 33 Belgium 21426
34 34 Wales 21274
35 35 Macedonia 19409
36 36 Cyprus 18791
------------------------------
37 37 Montenegro 18751
38 38 Albania 18319
39 39 Estonia 17792
40 40 Georgia 15819
41 41 Moldova 15734
42 42 Iceland 15404
43 43 Armenia 15164
44 44 Kazakhstan 14730
45 45 Liechtenstein 13581
------------------------------
46 46 Azerbaijan 13500
47 47 Luxembourg 11872
48 48 Malta 11517
49 49 Faroe Islands 10620
50 50 Andorra 9197
51 51 San Marino 7783
Monday, November 16, 2009
EURO 2012: Qualifying draw coefficients (16 November 2009)
The coefficients for the EURO 2012 qualifying draw will take into account results from:
2006 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
The draw will take place on 7 February 2010.
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
UEFA will use a qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams (Poland (26620) and Ukraine (28150) - automatically qualified as hosts).
Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points
2006 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
The draw will take place on 7 February 2010.
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
UEFA will use a qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams (Poland (26620) and Ukraine (28150) - automatically qualified as hosts).
Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points
1 1 Spain 39964
2 2 Germany 38294
3 3 Netherlands 37821
4 4 Italy 35838
5 5 England 34819
6 6 Croatia 33677
7 7 Russia 32493
8 8 France 32218
9 9 Portugal 32210
------------------------------
10 11 Czech Republic 30871
11 12 Sweden 30695
12 13 Switzerland 30395
13 10 Greece 30252
14 14 Serbia 29811
15 15 Turkey 29447
16 16 Denmark 29222
17 17 Slovakia 28228
18 18 Romania 28145
------------------------------
19 19 Israel 28052
20 20 Bulgaria 27198
21 21 Finland 26827
22 23 Norway 26210
23 24 Scotland 25646
24 22 Ireland 25638
25 26 Northern Ireland 24518
26 25 Bosnia-Herzegovina 24382
27 27 Austria 24381
------------------------------
28 29 Latvia 23303
29 28 Slovenia 23204
30 30 Hungary 23048
31 31 Lithuania 22071
32 32 Belarus 21515
33 33 Belgium 21426
34 34 Wales 21274
35 35 Macedonia 19409
36 36 Cyprus 18791
------------------------------
37 37 Montenegro 18751
38 38 Albania 18319
39 39 Estonia 17792
40 40 Georgia 15819
41 41 Moldova 15734
42 42 Iceland 15404
43 43 Armenia 15164
44 44 Kazakhstan 14730
45 45 Liechtenstein 13581
------------------------------
46 46 Azerbaijan 13500
47 47 Luxembourg 11872
48 48 Malta 11517
49 49 Faroe Islands 10620
50 50 Andorra 9197
51 51 San Marino 7783
Friday, October 16, 2009
EURO 2012: Qualifying draw coefficients (16 October 2009)
The coefficients for the EURO 2012 qualifying draw will take into account results from:
2006 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
The draw will take place on 7 February 2010.
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
UEFA will use a qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams (Poland (26620) and Ukraine (28866) - automatically qualified as hosts).
Romania replace Israel in the second pot.
Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points
The minimum values means losing both matches 5 - 0. Maximum values - winning both matches 5 - 0.
Team - Minimum - Maximum
2006 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
The draw will take place on 7 February 2010.
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
UEFA will use a qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams (Poland (26620) and Ukraine (28866) - automatically qualified as hosts).
Romania replace Israel in the second pot.
Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points
1 1 Spain 39964This is how the coefficients for the teams involved in the playoffs could change:
2 2 Germany 38294
3 3 Netherlands 37821
4 4 Italy 35838
5 5 England 34819
6 6 Croatia 33677
7 7 Russia 32587
8 8 France 32231
9 9 Portugal 32100
------------------------------
10 13 Greece 30885
11 10 Czech Republic 30871
12 14 Sweden 30695
13 11 Switzerland 30395
14 12 Serbia 29811
15 16 Turkey 29447
16 15 Denmark 29222
17 18 Slovakia 28228
18 19 Romania 28145
------------------------------
19 17 Israel 28052
20 23 Bulgaria 27198
21 20 Finland 26827
22 22 Ireland 26468
23 21 Norway 26210
24 24 Scotland 25646
25 25 Bosnia-Herzegovina 25305
26 27 Northern Ireland 24518
27 26 Austria 24381
------------------------------
28 28 Slovenia 24201
29 29 Latvia 23303
30 30 Hungary 23048
31 33 Lithuania 22071
32 31 Belarus 21515
33 32 Belgium 21426
34 34 Wales 21274
35 35 Macedonia 19409
36 36 Cyprus 18791
------------------------------
37 38 Montenegro 18751
38 37 Albania 18319
39 39 Estonia 17792
40 40 Georgia 15819
41 41 Moldova 15734
42 42 Iceland 15404
43 43 Armenia 15164
44 44 Kazakhstan 14730
45 45 Liechtenstein 13581
------------------------------
46 46 Azerbaijan 13500
47 47 Luxembourg 11872
48 48 Malta 11517
49 49 Faroe Islands 10620
50 50 Andorra 9197
51 51 San Marino 7783
The minimum values means losing both matches 5 - 0. Maximum values - winning both matches 5 - 0.
Team - Minimum - Maximum
Russia 30643 33811
France 30368 33535
Portugal 30360 33527
Greece 29085 32252
Ireland 24821 27989
Bosnia-Herzegovina 23565 26732
Slovenia 22388 25555
Monday, October 12, 2009
EURO 2012: Qualifying draw coefficients (12 October 2009)
The coefficients for the EURO 2012 qualifying draw will take into account results from:
2006 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
The draw will take place on 7 February 2010.
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
UEFA will use a qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams (Poland (26640) and Ukraine (27546) - automatically qualified as hosts).
Israel replace Romania in Pot 2.
Cyprus replace Albania in Pot 4.
Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points
2006 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
The draw will take place on 7 February 2010.
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
UEFA will use a qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams (Poland (26640) and Ukraine (27546) - automatically qualified as hosts).
Israel replace Romania in Pot 2.
Cyprus replace Albania in Pot 4.
Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points
1 2 Spain 38704
2 3 Germany 37893
3 1 Netherlands 37821
4 4 Italy 34618
5 5 England 33559
6 6 Croatia 32457
7 7 Russia 32187
8 8 France 30991
9 9 Portugal 30820
------------------------------
10 11 Czech Republic 30471
11 12 Switzerland 29995
12 13 Serbia 29831
13 14 Greece 29665
14 10 Sweden 29435
15 16 Denmark 29242
16 15 Turkey 28207
17 19 Israel 27652
18 17 Slovakia 27008
------------------------------
19 18 Romania 26905
20 24 Finland 26427
21 20 Norway 26210
22 22 Ireland 26068
23 21 Bulgaria 25918
24 23 Scotland 25646
25 25 Bosnia-Herzegovina 25365
26 27 Austria 24421
27 26 Northern Ireland 24118
------------------------------
28 30 Slovenia 22941
29 28 Latvia 22083
30 29 Hungary 21828
31 32 Belarus 21575
32 33 Belgium 21466
33 31 Lithuania 20851
34 34 Wales 20034
35 35 Macedonia 19409
36 37 Cyprus 18811
------------------------------
37 36 Albania 18379
38 44 Montenegro 17751
39 38 Estonia 16552
40 39 Georgia 15899
41 40 Moldova 15754
42 41 Iceland 15404
43 42 Armenia 15204
44 43 Kazakhstan 14750
45 45 Liechtenstein 13621
------------------------------
46 47 Azerbaijan 13100
47 46 Luxembourg 11892
48 48 Malta 11597
49 49 Faroe Islands 10660
50 50 Andorra 9317
51 51 San Marino 7843
Wednesday, October 7, 2009
EURO 2012: Probable pots (7 October 2009)
Since I already had the probable results for the FIFA ranking, I also computed the probable UEFA NT coefficient.
Croatia, Russia, France, Portugal would be seeded in the play-offs, with Greece, Czech Republic, Bosnia-Herzegovina and Ireland unseeded.
Only those 8 teams could change their coefficient.
Team - Min - Max
The coefficient table:
Croatia, Russia, France, Portugal would be seeded in the play-offs, with Greece, Czech Republic, Bosnia-Herzegovina and Ireland unseeded.
Only those 8 teams could change their coefficient.
Team - Min - Max
Russia 31810 34543
Croatia 32023 34757
France 30417 33151
Portugal 30409 33143
Czech Republic 30135 32868
Greece 29185 31918
Ireland 25638 28371
Bosnia-Herzegovina 23715 26448
The coefficient table:
1 Spain 39924
2 Germany 38293
3 Netherlands 37821
4 England 36019
5 Italy 35838
6 Russia 33827
7 Croatia 33677
8 France 32131
9 Portugal 32000
---------------------------
10 Czech Republic 31671
11 Switzerland 31175
12 Serbia 30971
13 Greece 30845
14 Turkey 30687
15 Sweden 30655
16 Denmark 30462
17 Slovakia 28668
18 Bulgaria 28418
---------------------------
19 Romania 28205
20 Israel 27612
21 Ireland 27288
22 Finland 26407
23 Norway 26210
24 Scotland 25646
25 Bosnia-Herzegovina 25325
26 Northern Ireland 24098
27 Austria 23580
---------------------------
28 Latvia 23343
29 Slovenia 22901
30 Hungary 21848
31 Belarus 21495
32 Wales 21254
33 Lithuania 21251
34 Belgium 20605
35 Macedonia 19409
36 Albania 18359
---------------------------
37 Montenegro 17701
38 Cyprus 17511
39 Estonia 16972
40 Georgia 15879
41 Moldova 15754
42 Iceland 15404
43 Armenia 15184
44 Kazakhstan 14790
45 Liechtenstein 14041
---------------------------
46 Azerbaijan 12240
47 Luxembourg 11912
48 Malta 11577
49 Faroe Islands 10720
50 Andorra 9297
51 San Marino 7823
Monday, September 14, 2009
EURO 2012: Qualifying draw coefficients (14 September 2009)
16 September 2009
UEFA confirm the qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams. More info.
________________________
The coefficients for the EURO 2012 qualifying draw will take into account results from:
2006 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
The draw will take place on 7 February 2010.
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
As mentioned before, I assume UEFA will use a qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams (Poland (26680) and Ukraine (26326) - automatically qualified as hosts).
Slovakia replace Bulgaria in the 2nd pot.
Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points
UEFA confirm the qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams. More info.
________________________
The coefficients for the EURO 2012 qualifying draw will take into account results from:
2006 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
The draw will take place on 7 February 2010.
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
As mentioned before, I assume UEFA will use a qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams (Poland (26680) and Ukraine (26326) - automatically qualified as hosts).
Slovakia replace Bulgaria in the 2nd pot.
Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points
1 1 Netherlands 37821
2 2 Spain 37484
3 3 Germany 36673
4 4 Italy 34218
5 6 England 33579
6 5 Croatia 32457
7 7 Russia 32207
8 8 France 29691
9 9 Portugal 29559
------------------------------
10 11 Sweden 29455
11 14 Czech Republic 29231
12 10 Switzerland 28735
13 12 Serbia 28531
14 13 Greece 28405
15 15 Turkey 28247
16 16 Denmark 28022
17 19 Slovakia 27048
18 17 Romania 27005
------------------------------
19 22 Israel 26412
20 24 Norway 26210
21 18 Bulgaria 25978
22 21 Ireland 25668
23 20 Scotland 25646
24 23 Finland 25207
25 26 Bosnia-Herzegovina 24125
26 25 Northern Ireland 24118
27 27 Austria 23200
------------------------------
28 29 Latvia 22143
29 28 Hungary 21888
30 31 Slovenia 21701
31 30 Lithuania 20871
32 34 Belarus 20295
33 32 Belgium 20225
34 33 Wales 20054
35 35 Macedonia 19409
36 36 Albania 18379
------------------------------
37 37 Cyprus 17551
38 38 Estonia 16592
39 39 Georgia 15919
40 41 Moldova 15794
41 40 Iceland 15404
42 42 Armenia 15224
43 44 Kazakhstan 14830
44 43 Montenegro 14701
45 45 Liechtenstein 13661
------------------------------
46 46 Luxembourg 11952
47 47 Azerbaijan 11860
48 48 Malta 11597
49 49 Faroe Islands 10760
50 50 Andorra 9317
51 51 San Marino 7843
Monday, September 7, 2009
EURO 2012: Qualifying draw coefficients (7 September 2009)
The coefficients for the EURO 2012 qualifying draw will take into account results from:
2006 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
The draw will take place on 7 February 2010.
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
As mentioned before, I assume UEFA will use a qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams (Poland (26740) and Ukraine (25926) - automatically qualified as hosts).
Portugal replace Serbia in Pot 1.
Bulgaria replace Slovakia in Pot 2.
Austria replace Hungary in Pot 3.
Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points
2006 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
The draw will take place on 7 February 2010.
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
As mentioned before, I assume UEFA will use a qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams (Poland (26740) and Ukraine (25926) - automatically qualified as hosts).
Portugal replace Serbia in Pot 1.
Bulgaria replace Slovakia in Pot 2.
Austria replace Hungary in Pot 3.
Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points
1 1 Netherlands 36296
2 3 Spain 36224
3 2 Germany 35393
4 5 Italy 32978
5 6 Croatia 32537
6 4 England 32299
7 7 Russia 30967
8 8 France 29291
9 11 Portugal 28339
------------------------------
10 14 Switzerland 28334
11 15 Sweden 28235
12 9 Serbia 28131
13 10 Greece 28005
14 12 Czech Republic 27891
15 16 Turkey 27847
16 13 Denmark 27622
17 17 Romania 26605
18 20 Bulgaria 26018
------------------------------
19 18 Slovakia 25808
20 23 Scotland 25671
21 21 Ireland 25668
22 19 Israel 25071
23 25 Finland 24807
24 22 Norway 24685
25 24 Northern Ireland 24158
26 26 Bosnia-Herzegovina 23725
27 28 Austria 22800
------------------------------
28 27 Hungary 21908
29 30 Latvia 21743
30 29 Lithuania 20891
31 31 Slovenia 20441
32 32 Belgium 20245
33 33 Wales 20094
34 34 Belarus 19895
35 35 Macedonia 19434
36 36 Albania 17979
------------------------------
37 37 Cyprus 17151
38 38 Estonia 16652
39 39 Georgia 15919
40 41 Iceland 15404
41 40 Moldova 15394
42 42 Armenia 14004
43 43 Montenegro 13701
44 44 Kazakhstan 13590
45 45 Liechtenstein 13261
------------------------------
46 47 Luxembourg 12092
47 46 Azerbaijan 11940
48 48 Malta 11617
49 49 Faroe Islands 9540
50 50 Andorra 9357
51 51 San Marino 7983
Monday, August 24, 2009
2010 WCQ: Explanation of second place standings
It would have been a very long comment. I think a separate post would be better.
First of all, this was a "by request" post for Jonny. These are probable results based on the Elo ratings, not my predictions. I'm not good at predictions by the way :) The Elo ratings don't reflect a team's form very well. Perhaps Voros' ranking would do the trick, but since the system behind his ranking is not public, I can't use it to predict results. For each match, I use the result that will have the teams exchange the least amount of points.
This has never been an "opinion" blog. It's only a ranking blog. That's why it's not very popular. :)
From Iasi. I have nothing against Serbs or Serbia. Scroll to the end to see why Elo gives these results. Elo has Romania losing 1 - 0 in Paris.
Here are a couple of results mentioned in the above comments or results I think are strange.
Of course, the values are adjusted after each match, but the current values will do for now:
Armenia - Bosnia-Herzegovina X
Armenia - 1345
Bosnia - 1604
Points exchanged:
1 - 29
X - 9
2 - 11
Cyprus - Republic of Ireland X
Cyprus - 1479
Republic of Ireland - 1737
Points exchanged:
1 - 29
X - 9
2 - 11
Armenia - Belgium X
Armenia - 1345
Belgium - 1554
Points exchanged:
1 - 26
X - 6
2 - 14
Hungary - Portugal X
Hungary - 1598
Portugal - 1795
Points exchanged:
1 - 25
X - 5
2 - 15
Latvia - Switzerland X
1 - 29
X - 9
2 - 11
Serbia - Romania X
Serbia - 1799
Romania - 1763
Points exchanged:
1 - 13
X - 7
2 - 27
Estonia - Bosnia-Herzegovina X
Estonia - 1396
Bosnia-Herzegovina - 1578
Points exchanged:
1 - 26
X - 6
2 - 14
Lithuania - Serbia X
Lithuania - 1578
Serbia - 1799
Points exchanged:
1 - 27
X - 7
2 - 13
Estonia - Belgium X
Estonia - 1396
Belgium - 1554
Points exchanged:
1 - 23
X - 3
2 - 17
First of all, this was a "by request" post for Jonny. These are probable results based on the Elo ratings, not my predictions. I'm not good at predictions by the way :) The Elo ratings don't reflect a team's form very well. Perhaps Voros' ranking would do the trick, but since the system behind his ranking is not public, I can't use it to predict results. For each match, I use the result that will have the teams exchange the least amount of points.
-
I don't think Norway is going to be among the 8 best second placed teams. I'm Norwegian, and I'm saying this based on how our team plays in the last 5 years. Maybe we are going to win away against Iceland and HOME against Macedonia, but that won't be enough. You also have some "weird" results, by underestimating Serbia (don't mind anyway, they are in front us), Portugal and especially Turkey. And I don't think Croatai and Israel are going to be the second placed team in their group. But I do respect your opinion :)
This has never been an "opinion" blog. It's only a ranking blog. That's why it's not very popular. :)
From Iasi. I have nothing against Serbs or Serbia. Scroll to the end to see why Elo gives these results. Elo has Romania losing 1 - 0 in Paris.
paqs said...Group 5 current situation:
Bosnia 12 points
Turkey 8 points
You say Turkey will gain an additional 8 points, leaving them with 16. You say Bosnia will draw with Turkey, and it's fair to assume they'll lose to Spain.
So that leaves Bosnia to get 4 points from two games at Estonia and Armenia to surpass Turkey and their 16 points. I think they'll easily make it, considering they beat the two minnows by 7-0 (Estonia) and 4-1 (Armenia) last fall.
- scaryice said...
I'm not sure 12 points would be enough, unless no one breaks out of the pack in group 3. Teams are probably going to need 13 points after the 6th place results are removed. I don't know even know if Scotland could avoid missing the playoffs with 13 points, because their goal differential is awful.
At this point all teams in group 8 need to hope for the right results in the other groups. I think you're being conservative with your likely results. Ireland should beat Cyprus and Portugal should beat Hungary, and I don't see Israel and Turkey finishing second in their groups.
Here are a couple of results mentioned in the above comments or results I think are strange.
Of course, the values are adjusted after each match, but the current values will do for now:
Armenia - Bosnia-Herzegovina X
Armenia - 1345
Bosnia - 1604
Points exchanged:
1 - 29
X - 9
2 - 11
Cyprus - Republic of Ireland X
Cyprus - 1479
Republic of Ireland - 1737
Points exchanged:
1 - 29
X - 9
2 - 11
Armenia - Belgium X
Armenia - 1345
Belgium - 1554
Points exchanged:
1 - 26
X - 6
2 - 14
Hungary - Portugal X
Hungary - 1598
Portugal - 1795
Points exchanged:
1 - 25
X - 5
2 - 15
Latvia - Switzerland X
1 - 29
X - 9
2 - 11
Serbia - Romania X
Serbia - 1799
Romania - 1763
Points exchanged:
1 - 13
X - 7
2 - 27
Estonia - Bosnia-Herzegovina X
Estonia - 1396
Bosnia-Herzegovina - 1578
Points exchanged:
1 - 26
X - 6
2 - 14
Lithuania - Serbia X
Lithuania - 1578
Serbia - 1799
Points exchanged:
1 - 27
X - 7
2 - 13
Estonia - Belgium X
Estonia - 1396
Belgium - 1554
Points exchanged:
1 - 23
X - 3
2 - 17
Friday, August 21, 2009
2010 WCQ: Second place standings (21 August 2009)
A discussion with jonny63 made me curious about Norway's chances of reaching the play-offs. I generated the probable results for the remaining qualifiers and here's the ranking of second placed teams (with the games against the 6th team in the group removed):
Rank - Team - Group - Goals for - Goals against - Points - Goal difference
H (home), A (away), W (win), D (draw), L (loss).
Russia
Liechtenstein (H-W)
Wales (A-W)
Germany (H-D)
Azerbaijan (A-W)
Serbia
France (H-D)
Romania (H-D)
Lithuania (A-D)
Croatia
Belarus (H-W)
England (A-L)
Kazakhstan (A-W)
Israel
Latvia (H-W)
Luxembourg (H-W)
Moldova (H-W)
Switzerland (A-D)
Norway
Iceland (A-W)
FYR Macedonia (H-W)
Poland
Northern Ireland (H-W)
Slovenia (A-D)
Czech Republic (A-D)
Slovakia (H-W)
Republic of Ireland
Cyprus (A-D)
Italy (H-D)
Montenegro (H-W)
Portugal
Denmark (A-D)
Hungary (A-D)
Hungary (H-W)
Malta (H-W)
Turkey
Estonia (H-W)
Bosnia-Herzegovina (A-D)
Belgium (A-D)
Armenia (H-W)
Rank - Team - Group - Goals for - Goals against - Points - Goal difference
1 Russia 4 13 3 19 10Probable results for these 9 teams:
2 Serbia 7 11 5 15 6
3 Croatia 6 12 8 14 4
4 Israel 2 9 7 13 2
5 Norway 9 8 5 12 3
6 Republic of Ireland 8 5 3 12 2
7 Poland 3 8 7 12 1
8 Portugal 1 5 4 11 1
----------------------------------
9 Turkey 5 5 5 10 0
H (home), A (away), W (win), D (draw), L (loss).
Russia
Liechtenstein (H-W)
Wales (A-W)
Germany (H-D)
Azerbaijan (A-W)
Serbia
France (H-D)
Romania (H-D)
Lithuania (A-D)
Croatia
Belarus (H-W)
England (A-L)
Kazakhstan (A-W)
Israel
Latvia (H-W)
Luxembourg (H-W)
Moldova (H-W)
Switzerland (A-D)
Norway
Iceland (A-W)
FYR Macedonia (H-W)
Poland
Northern Ireland (H-W)
Slovenia (A-D)
Czech Republic (A-D)
Slovakia (H-W)
Republic of Ireland
Cyprus (A-D)
Italy (H-D)
Montenegro (H-W)
Portugal
Denmark (A-D)
Hungary (A-D)
Hungary (H-W)
Malta (H-W)
Turkey
Estonia (H-W)
Bosnia-Herzegovina (A-D)
Belgium (A-D)
Armenia (H-W)
Friday, August 14, 2009
EURO 2012: Qualifying draw coefficients (12 August 2009)
The coefficients for the EURO 2012 qualifying draw will take into account results from:
2006 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
The draw will take place on 7 February 2010.
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
As mentioned before, I assume UEFA will use a qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams (Poland (26340) and Ukraine (24626) - automatically qualified as hosts).
France up to first pot, replacing Greece.
Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points
2006 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
The draw will take place on 7 February 2010.
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
As mentioned before, I assume UEFA will use a qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams (Poland (26340) and Ukraine (24626) - automatically qualified as hosts).
France up to first pot, replacing Greece.
Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points
1 1 Netherlands 36296
2 3 Germany 35393
3 2 Spain 34924
4 4 England 32299
5 5 Italy 31738
6 6 Croatia 31317
7 7 Russia 29706
8 11 France 28891
9 8 Serbia 28131
------------------------------
10 9 Greece 28045
11 10 Portugal 27939
12 12 Czech Republic 27491
13 13 Denmark 27222
14 14 Switzerland 27094
15 15 Sweden 27015
16 16 Turkey 26607
17 17 Romania 26205
18 18 Slovakia 25408
------------------------------
19 19 Israel 25091
20 20 Bulgaria 24758
21 21 Ireland 24448
22 25 Norway 24185
23 22 Scotland 24121
24 23 Northern Ireland 23758
25 24 Finland 23587
26 26 Bosnia-Herzegovina 22485
27 27 Hungary 21928
------------------------------
28 28 Austria 21560
29 29 Lithuania 20891
30 30 Latvia 20523
31 35 Slovenia 20441
32 31 Belgium 20345
33 32 Wales 20094
34 33 Belarus 19915
35 34 Macedonia 19484
36 36 Albania 17979
------------------------------
37 37 Cyprus 17171
38 38 Estonia 16692
39 39 Georgia 15959
40 40 Moldova 14994
41 41 Iceland 14904
42 42 Armenia 14044
43 43 Montenegro 13851
44 44 Kazakhstan 13590
45 45 Liechtenstein 13321
------------------------------
46 46 Azerbaijan 11960
47 47 Luxembourg 11692
48 48 Malta 11617
49 49 Faroe Islands 9580
50 50 Andorra 9457
51 51 San Marino 7983
Friday, June 12, 2009
EURO 2012: Qualifying draw coefficients (10 June 2009)
The coefficients for the EURO 2012 qualifying draw will take into account results from:
2006 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
The draw will take place on 7 February 2010.
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
As mentioned before, I assume UEFA will use a qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams (Poland (26340) and Ukraine (24626) - automatically qualified as hosts).
Netherlands up to 1st place at the expense of Spain.
Serbia (up 6 places) replace Portugal in the first pot.
2006 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
The draw will take place on 7 February 2010.
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
As mentioned before, I assume UEFA will use a qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams (Poland (26340) and Ukraine (24626) - automatically qualified as hosts).
Netherlands up to 1st place at the expense of Spain.
Serbia (up 6 places) replace Portugal in the first pot.
1 2 Netherlands 36296
2 1 Spain 34924
3 3 Germany 34153
4 5 England 32299
5 4 Italy 31738
6 6 Croatia 30076
7 7 Russia 29706
8 14 Serbia 28131
9 8 Greece 28045
------------------------------
10 9 Portugal 27939
11 10 France 27671
12 11 Czech Republic 27491
13 12 Denmark 27222
14 13 Switzerland 27094
15 17 Sweden 27015
16 15 Turkey 26607
17 16 Romania 26205
18 18 Slovakia 25408
------------------------------
19 19 Israel 25091
20 20 Bulgaria 24758
21 21 Ireland 24448
22 22 Scotland 24221
23 23 Northern Ireland 23758
24 24 Finland 23587
25 25 Norway 22585
26 26 Bosnia-Herzegovina 22485
27 27 Hungary 21928
------------------------------
28 28 Austria 21560
29 29 Lithuania 20891
30 30 Latvia 20523
31 31 Belgium 20345
32 32 Wales 20094
33 33 Belarus 19955
34 36 Macedonia 19484
35 34 Slovenia 19141
36 35 Albania 17979
------------------------------
37 37 Cyprus 17171
38 38 Estonia 16692
39 39 Georgia 15959
40 40 Moldova 14994
41 41 Iceland 14904
42 42 Armenia 14044
43 43 Montenegro 13851
44 44 Kazakhstan 13590
45 45 Liechtenstein 13321
------------------------------
46 46 Azerbaijan 12000
47 48 Luxembourg 11692
48 47 Malta 11617
49 49 Faroe Islands 9600
50 50 Andorra 9457
51 51 San Marino 8083
Wednesday, June 10, 2009
EURO 2012: Qualifying draw coefficients (6 June 2009)
The coefficients for the EURO 2012 qualifying draw will take into account results from:
2006 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
As mentioned before, I assume UEFA will use a qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams (Poland (26340) and Ukraine (23406) - automatically qualified as hosts).
Portugal up to the top pot, with France going in the second pot.
Slovakia replace Israel in the second pot.
2006 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
As mentioned before, I assume UEFA will use a qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams (Poland (26340) and Ukraine (23406) - automatically qualified as hosts).
Portugal up to the top pot, with France going in the second pot.
Slovakia replace Israel in the second pot.
1 1 Spain 34924
2 3 Netherlands 34745
3 2 Germany 34153
4 4 Italy 31738
5 5 England 30979
6 6 Croatia 30076
7 7 Russia 28446
8 8 Greece 28045
9 12 Portugal 27939
------------------------------
10 9 France 27671
11 10 Czech Republic 27491
12 14 Denmark 27222
13 11 Switzerland 27094
14 16 Serbia 26891
15 13 Turkey 26607
16 18 Romania 26205
17 15 Sweden 25735
18 21 Slovakia 25408
------------------------------
19 17 Israel 25091
20 19 Bulgaria 24758
21 22 Ireland 24448
22 20 Scotland 24221
23 23 Northern Ireland 23758
24 25 Finland 23647
25 26 Norway 22635
26 24 Bosnia-Herzegovina 22485
27 27 Hungary 21928
------------------------------
28 28 Austria 21560
29 29 Lithuania 20891
30 30 Latvia 20523
31 31 Belgium 20345
32 33 Wales 20094
33 34 Belarus 19955
34 32 Slovenia 19141
35 35 Albania 17979
36 36 Macedonia 17934
------------------------------
37 37 Cyprus 17171
38 38 Estonia 16692
39 39 Georgia 15959
40 40 Moldova 14994
41 41 Iceland 14954
42 42 Armenia 14044
43 45 Montenegro 13851
44 43 Kazakhstan 13610
45 44 Liechtenstein 13321
------------------------------
46 46 Azerbaijan 12000
47 47 Malta 11697
48 48 Luxembourg 11692
49 50 Faroe Islands 9640
50 49 Andorra 9577
51 51 San Marino 8083
Friday, April 3, 2009
EURO 2012: Qualifying draw coefficients (1 April 2009)
The coefficients for the EURO 2012 qualifying draw will take into account results from:
2006 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
As mentioned before, I assume UEFA will use a qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams (Poland (26340) and Ukraine (23006) - automatically qualified as hosts).
The Czech Republic drop to the second pot, with France replacing them among the top seeds.
Hungary replace Lithuania in pot three.
Montenegro replace Azerbaijan in pot five.
2006 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
As mentioned before, I assume UEFA will use a qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams (Poland (26340) and Ukraine (23006) - automatically qualified as hosts).
The Czech Republic drop to the second pot, with France replacing them among the top seeds.
Hungary replace Lithuania in pot three.
Montenegro replace Azerbaijan in pot five.
1 1 Spain 34924
2 2 Germany 34153
3 3 Netherlands 33220
4 4 Italy 31738
5 5 England 29698
6 6 Croatia 29676
7 8 Russia 28446
8 9 Greece 28045
9 12 France 27671
------------------------------
10 7 Czech Republic 27491
11 13 Switzerland 27094
12 10 Portugal 26719
13 11 Turkey 26607
14 18 Denmark 26002
15 14 Sweden 25755
16 15 Serbia 25671
17 16 Israel 25091
18 17 Romania 24985
------------------------------
19 20 Bulgaria 24358
20 22 Scotland 24221
21 21 Slovakia 24068
22 19 Ireland 24048
23 23 Northern Ireland 23758
24 26 Bosnia-Herzegovina 22485
25 24 Finland 22427
26 25 Norway 22135
27 28 Hungary 21928
------------------------------
28 30 Austria 21580
29 27 Lithuania 20911
30 31 Latvia 20523
31 29 Belgium 20345
32 32 Slovenia 19141
33 33 Wales 18874
34 36 Belarus 18675
35 34 Albania 17999
36 35 Macedonia 17434
------------------------------
37 37 Cyprus 16771
38 39 Estonia 16692
39 38 Georgia 15959
40 40 Moldova 14994
41 41 Iceland 14979
42 42 Armenia 14044
43 43 Kazakhstan 13690
44 44 Liechtenstein 13341
45 46 Montenegro 12850
------------------------------
46 45 Azerbaijan 12020
47 47 Malta 11697
48 48 Luxembourg 11692
49 49 Andorra 9657
50 50 Faroe Islands 9640
51 51 San Marino 8223
Monday, March 30, 2009
EURO 2012: Qualifying draw coefficients (28 March 2009)
The coefficients for the EURO 2012 qualifying draw will take into account results from:
2006 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
As mentioned before, I assume UEFA will use a qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams (Poland (24940) and Ukraine (23026) - automatically qualified as hosts).
Russia up to the first pot, displacing Turkey. Bosnia-Herzegovina not only won away in Belgium, but they also climb to the third pot at the expense of the Diables Rouges.
2006 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
As mentioned before, I assume UEFA will use a qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams (Poland (24940) and Ukraine (23026) - automatically qualified as hosts).
Russia up to the first pot, displacing Turkey. Bosnia-Herzegovina not only won away in Belgium, but they also climb to the third pot at the expense of the Diables Rouges.
1 1 Spain 33704
2 2 Germany 32913
3 4 Netherlands 31620
4 3 Italy 31337
5 5 England 28478
6 6 Croatia 28436
7 7 Czech Republic 27511
8 11 Russia 27226
9 9 Greece 26825
------------------------------
10 10 Portugal 26719
11 8 Turkey 26627
12 13 France 26451
13 16 Switzerland 25854
14 12 Sweden 25755
15 17 Serbia 25671
16 15 Israel 25111
17 14 Romania 25005
18 18 Denmark 24741
------------------------------
19 19 Ireland 23648
20 22 Bulgaria 23118
21 20 Slovakia 22848
22 21 Scotland 22696
23 24 Northern Ireland 22538
24 25 Finland 22427
25 23 Norway 22135
26 29 Bosnia-Herzegovina 21265
27 26 Lithuania 20931
------------------------------
28 30 Hungary 20667
29 27 Belgium 20365
30 28 Austria 20360
31 34 Latvia 19283
32 32 Slovenia 19161
33 31 Wales 18914
34 33 Albania 18059
35 35 Macedonia 17534
36 36 Belarus 17394
------------------------------
37 37 Cyprus 16811
38 38 Georgia 15559
39 40 Estonia 15472
40 39 Moldova 15034
41 41 Iceland 15004
42 43 Armenia 14064
43 42 Kazakhstan 13770
44 44 Liechtenstein 13361
45 45 Azerbaijan 12020
------------------------------
46 46 Montenegro 11850
47 47 Malta 11757
48 48 Luxembourg 11732
49 49 Andorra 9697
50 50 Faroe Islands 9640
51 51 San Marino 8423
Monday, March 9, 2009
UEFA EURO 2012 qualifying draw date
A bit of old news...
Turning to preparations for UEFA EURO 2012™ in Poland and Ukraine, the qualifying draw will be held in Poland on 7 February 2010.
Source: uefa.com
See the current UEFA national team coefficient as of February 11th, 2009.
Turning to preparations for UEFA EURO 2012™ in Poland and Ukraine, the qualifying draw will be held in Poland on 7 February 2010.
Source: uefa.com
See the current UEFA national team coefficient as of February 11th, 2009.
Friday, February 13, 2009
EURO 2012: Qualifying draw coefficients (11 February 2009)
The coefficients for the EURO 2012 qualifying draw will take into account results from:
2006 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
As mentioned before, I assume UEFA will use a qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams (Poland (24960) and Ukraine (23026) - automatically qualified as hosts).
Three matches played: Republic of Ireland - Georgia 2 - 1, San Marino - Northern Ireland 0 - 3 and Malta - Albania 0 - 0. The Irish teams both climb 4 spots and are now in the same pot, as Northern Ireland jumped to the 3rd pot.
2006 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
As mentioned before, I assume UEFA will use a qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams (Poland (24960) and Ukraine (23026) - automatically qualified as hosts).
Three matches played: Republic of Ireland - Georgia 2 - 1, San Marino - Northern Ireland 0 - 3 and Malta - Albania 0 - 0. The Irish teams both climb 4 spots and are now in the same pot, as Northern Ireland jumped to the 3rd pot.
1 1 Spain 32484
2 2 Germany 31633
3 3 Italy 30097
4 4 Netherlands 30045
5 5 England 28478
6 6 Croatia 28436
7 7 Czech Republic 27111
8 8 Turkey 26647
9 9 Greece 26425
------------------------------
10 10 Portugal 26319
11 11 Russia 25986
12 12 Sweden 25355
13 13 France 25231
14 14 Romania 25025
15 15 Israel 24711
16 16 Switzerland 24614
17 17 Serbia 24451
18 18 Denmark 23481
------------------------------
19 23 Ireland 23248
20 19 Slovakia 22848
21 20 Scotland 22771
22 21 Bulgaria 22718
23 22 Norway 22135
24 28 Northern Ireland 21318
25 24 Finland 21187
26 25 Lithuania 20951
27 26 Belgium 20405
------------------------------
28 27 Austria 20360
29 29 Bosnia-Herzegovina 20025
30 30 Hungary 19447
31 31 Wales 18954
32 32 Slovenia 18761
33 34 Albania 18079
34 33 Latvia 18003
35 35 Macedonia 17534
36 36 Belarus 17394
------------------------------
37 38 Cyprus 15591
38 37 Georgia 15579
39 39 Moldova 15074
40 40 Estonia 15072
41 41 Iceland 15004
42 42 Kazakhstan 13770
43 43 Armenia 13664
44 44 Liechtenstein 13441
45 45 Azerbaijan 12060
------------------------------
46 46 Montenegro 11950
47 48 Malta 11817
48 47 Luxembourg 11812
49 49 Andorra 9697
50 50 Faroe Islands 9640
51 51 San Marino 8423
Friday, November 21, 2008
EURO 2012: Qualifying draw coefficients (19 November 2008)
The coefficients for the EURO 2012 qualifying draw will take into account results from:
2006 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
As mentioned before, I assume UEFA will use a qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams (Poland (24960) and Ukraine (23026) - automatically qualified as hosts).
Only one match played: San Marino - Czech Republic 0 - 3. The Czechs climb 4 places to 7th.
Current ranking - Previous ranking - Team - Points
2006 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
As mentioned before, I assume UEFA will use a qualifying system with six groups of six teams and three of five teams (Poland (24960) and Ukraine (23026) - automatically qualified as hosts).
Only one match played: San Marino - Czech Republic 0 - 3. The Czechs climb 4 places to 7th.
Current ranking - Previous ranking - Team - Points
1 1 Spain 32484
2 2 Germany 31633
3 3 Italy 30097
4 4 Netherlands 30045
5 5 England 28478
6 6 Croatia 28436
7 11 Czech Republic 27111
8 7 Turkey 26647
9 8 Greece 26425
------------------------------
10 9 Portugal 26319
11 10 Russia 25986
12 12 Sweden 25355
13 13 France 25231
14 14 Romania 25025
15 15 Israel 24711
16 16 Switzerland 24614
17 17 Serbia 24451
18 18 Denmark 23481
------------------------------
19 19 Slovakia 22848
20 20 Scotland 22771
21 21 Bulgaria 22718
22 22 Norway 22135
23 23 Ireland 22028
24 24 Finland 21187
25 25 Lithuania 20951
26 26 Belgium 20405
27 27 Austria 20360
------------------------------
28 28 Northern Ireland 20058
29 29 Bosnia-Herzegovina 20025
30 30 Hungary 19447
31 31 Wales 18954
32 32 Slovenia 18761
33 33 Latvia 18003
34 34 Albania 17679
35 35 Macedonia 17534
36 36 Belarus 17394
------------------------------
37 37 Georgia 15599
38 38 Cyprus 15591
39 39 Moldova 15074
40 40 Estonia 15072
41 41 Iceland 15004
42 42 Kazakhstan 13770
43 43 Armenia 13664
44 44 Liechtenstein 13441
45 45 Azerbaijan 12060
------------------------------
46 46 Montenegro 11950
47 47 Luxembourg 11812
48 48 Malta 11417
49 49 Andorra 9697
50 50 Faroe Islands 9640
51 51 San Marino 8483
Wednesday, October 22, 2008
2010 World Cup: African final stage draw and fixtures
Group A
Cameroon, Morocco, Gabon, Togo
Matchday 1: 28-29 March 2009
Togo vs. Cameroon
Morocco vs. Gabon
Matchday 2: 6-7 June 2009
Cameroon vs. Morocco
Gabon vs. Togo
Matchday 3: 20-21 June 2009
Gabon vs. Cameroon
Morocco vs. Togo
Matchday 4: 5-6 September 2009
Cameroon vs. Gabon
Togo vs. Morocco
Matchday 5: 10-11 October 2009
Cameroon vs. Togo
Gabon vs. Morocco
Matchday 6: 14-15 November 2009
Morocco vs. Cameroon
Togo vs. Gabon
Group B
Nigeria, Tunisia, Kenya, Mozambique
Matchday 1: 28-29 March 2009
Mozambique vs. Nigeria
Kenya vs. Tunisia
Matchday 2: 6-7 June 2009
Nigeria vs. Kenya
Tunisia vs. Mozambique
Matchday 3: 20-21 June 2009
Tunisia vs. Nigeria
Kenya vs. Mozambique
Matchday 4: 5-6 September 2009
Nigeria vs. Tunisia
Mozambique vs. Kenya
Matchday 5: 10-11 October 2009
Nigeria vs. Mozambique
Tunisia vs. Kenya
Matchday 6: 14-15 November 2009
Kenya vs. Nigeria
Mozambique vs. Tunisia
Group C
Egypt, Algeria, Zambia, Rwanda
Matchday 1: 28-29 March 2009
Rwanda vs. Algeria
Egypt vs. Zambia
Matchday 2: 6-7 June 2009
Algeria vs. Egypt
Zambia vs. Rwanda
Matchday 3: 20-21 June 2009
Zambia vs. Algeria
Egypt vs. Rwanda (to be played in July 2009 due to FIFA Confederations Cup)
Matchday 4: 5-6 September 2009
Algeria vs. Zambia
Rwanda vs. Egypt
Matchday 5: 10-11 October 2009
Algeria vs. Rwanda
Zambia vs. Egypt
Matchday 6: 14-15 November 2009
Egypt vs. Algeria
Rwanda vs. Zambia
Group D
Ghana, Mali, Benin, Sudan
Matchday 1: 28-29 March 2009
Ghana vs. Benin
Sudan vs. Mali
Matchday 2: 6-7 June 2009
Benin vs. Sudan
Mali vs. Ghana
Matchday 3: 20-21 June 2009
Mali vs. Benin
Sudan vs. Ghana
Matchday 4: 5-6 September 2009
Benin vs. Mali
Ghana vs. Sudan
Matchday 5: 10-11 October 2009
Benin vs. Ghana
Mali vs. Sudan
Matchday 6: 14-15 November 2009
Sudan vs. Benin
Ghana vs. Mali
Group E
Côte d'Ivoire, Guinea, Burkina Faso, Malawi
Matchday 1: 28-29 March 2009
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Malawi
Burkina Faso vs. Guinea
Matchday 2: 6-7 June 2009
Malawi vs. Burkina Faso
Guinea vs. Côte d'Ivoire
Matchday 3: 20-21 June 2009
Guinea vs. Malawi
Burkina Faso vs. Côte d'Ivoire
Matchday 4: 5-6 September 2009
Malawi vs. Guinea
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Burkina Faso
Matchday 5: 10-11 October 2009
Malawi vs. Côte d'Ivoire
Guinea vs. Burkina Faso
Matchday 6: 14-15 November 2009
Burkina Faso vs. Malawi
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Guinea
Cameroon, Morocco, Gabon, Togo
Matchday 1: 28-29 March 2009
Togo vs. Cameroon
Morocco vs. Gabon
Matchday 2: 6-7 June 2009
Cameroon vs. Morocco
Gabon vs. Togo
Matchday 3: 20-21 June 2009
Gabon vs. Cameroon
Morocco vs. Togo
Matchday 4: 5-6 September 2009
Cameroon vs. Gabon
Togo vs. Morocco
Matchday 5: 10-11 October 2009
Cameroon vs. Togo
Gabon vs. Morocco
Matchday 6: 14-15 November 2009
Morocco vs. Cameroon
Togo vs. Gabon
Group B
Nigeria, Tunisia, Kenya, Mozambique
Matchday 1: 28-29 March 2009
Mozambique vs. Nigeria
Kenya vs. Tunisia
Matchday 2: 6-7 June 2009
Nigeria vs. Kenya
Tunisia vs. Mozambique
Matchday 3: 20-21 June 2009
Tunisia vs. Nigeria
Kenya vs. Mozambique
Matchday 4: 5-6 September 2009
Nigeria vs. Tunisia
Mozambique vs. Kenya
Matchday 5: 10-11 October 2009
Nigeria vs. Mozambique
Tunisia vs. Kenya
Matchday 6: 14-15 November 2009
Kenya vs. Nigeria
Mozambique vs. Tunisia
Group C
Egypt, Algeria, Zambia, Rwanda
Matchday 1: 28-29 March 2009
Rwanda vs. Algeria
Egypt vs. Zambia
Matchday 2: 6-7 June 2009
Algeria vs. Egypt
Zambia vs. Rwanda
Matchday 3: 20-21 June 2009
Zambia vs. Algeria
Egypt vs. Rwanda (to be played in July 2009 due to FIFA Confederations Cup)
Matchday 4: 5-6 September 2009
Algeria vs. Zambia
Rwanda vs. Egypt
Matchday 5: 10-11 October 2009
Algeria vs. Rwanda
Zambia vs. Egypt
Matchday 6: 14-15 November 2009
Egypt vs. Algeria
Rwanda vs. Zambia
Group D
Ghana, Mali, Benin, Sudan
Matchday 1: 28-29 March 2009
Ghana vs. Benin
Sudan vs. Mali
Matchday 2: 6-7 June 2009
Benin vs. Sudan
Mali vs. Ghana
Matchday 3: 20-21 June 2009
Mali vs. Benin
Sudan vs. Ghana
Matchday 4: 5-6 September 2009
Benin vs. Mali
Ghana vs. Sudan
Matchday 5: 10-11 October 2009
Benin vs. Ghana
Mali vs. Sudan
Matchday 6: 14-15 November 2009
Sudan vs. Benin
Ghana vs. Mali
Group E
Côte d'Ivoire, Guinea, Burkina Faso, Malawi
Matchday 1: 28-29 March 2009
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Malawi
Burkina Faso vs. Guinea
Matchday 2: 6-7 June 2009
Malawi vs. Burkina Faso
Guinea vs. Côte d'Ivoire
Matchday 3: 20-21 June 2009
Guinea vs. Malawi
Burkina Faso vs. Côte d'Ivoire
Matchday 4: 5-6 September 2009
Malawi vs. Guinea
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Burkina Faso
Matchday 5: 10-11 October 2009
Malawi vs. Côte d'Ivoire
Guinea vs. Burkina Faso
Matchday 6: 14-15 November 2009
Burkina Faso vs. Malawi
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Guinea
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Hi!
I know you're Romanian (where from Romania actually?) and you maybe don't like Serbia or Serbs, but do you really think Serbia is going to get a draw against France (fair enough), Romania (you are good, but not that good!:)) and Lithuania (no comment!)? I believe France will get the 2nd place in Group 7. I also count on help from Romania on 5th September in Paris :)